Sports bets can be quite profitable if you know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make cash. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I actually analyzed often the Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Florida had typically the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This video game features all the symptoms of being one regarding the most effective games regarding the year, together with equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, having Western Virginia coming rear from appearing down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the game appear like this year?
In the event this game were being played with a neutral field, West Las vegas might probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.
These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the additional added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a shut match-up this way, that special point might make the difference between a push and even a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home activities.
Together with if www.ufa7000.com leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since January 16, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game in your own home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 6 points every game from home. In case an individual did not do the math concepts, that means considering their own last home damage they already have averaged beating his or her adversaries by simply about 34 things per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by means of 13 factors per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats had been accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They also have got recent games through which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. That online games weren’t against Kentkucky Stycken. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that this is still the close sport to phone. Nevertheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and definitely not guess at all. There happen to be better activities this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for a TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big they will could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that activity, people really serious regarding wagering saved money many people can offer better use on future games.